Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
NO
94c
YES
6c
As of August 31, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?” at 6% YES with $136K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.
Prediction markets put the probability at 6%: Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (6% YES).
OddsShift analysis: up to 5 AI models + 166 tracked wallets on every market with smart-money data. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.
No verdict on this market
None of the 166 tracked wallets holds a position here, so the Radar makes no call — price, volume and news above are live.
When a tracked wallet takes a position, this page gets a verdict.