Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?'?

As of June 2026, prediction markets price this at 26% YES on Polymarket with $182K in total trading volume.

74c

YES

26c

Prediction markets put the probability at 26%: Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (26% YES).

Currently at 26%

Traded on Polymarket — $182K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 26c YES with $182K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

As of June 2026, Polymarket prices this at 26% YES with $182K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.