Prediction markets put the probability at 89%: Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026. Currently, markets see this as likely (89% YES). Netanyahu to Visit Trump, Attend Sen.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is expected to travel to Washington, D.C., as early as Saturday, July 18, 2026, to attend the funeral of Senator Lindsey Graham and to seek a formal meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump. Reports from Haaretz on Wednesday, July 15 confirmed that Netanyahu's aides view the funeral as a strategic opportunity to schedule the anticipated bilateral meeting, though no official sit-down has been confirmed. The visit comes amid heightened diplomatic activity, with Lebanese President Joseph Aoun also planning to travel to Washington next week for a separate meeting with Trump, though Aoun has stated he would leave the room if Netanyahu enters. [Haaretz, Jul 15]
The push for a Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July follows a recent phone call between the two leaders on Thursday, July 9, during which Trump updated Netanyahu on American military operations in the Persian Gulf, including renewed strikes on Iranian ports. According to an Israeli readout from The Times of Israel, the conversation also covered Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's regional posture. The call underscores the strategic alignment between the two allies as the U.S. enforces a renewed blockade on Iranian ports, a policy Netanyahu has publicly supported. Despite this coordination, Ynetnews reported on Wednesday, July 15 that no meeting between Trump and Netanyahu has yet been formally scheduled, leaving the timing and agenda of any potential sit-down uncertain. [Times of Israel, Jul 9]
The likelihood of a Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July remains high, driven by the funeral of Senator Lindsey Graham—a key Trump ally and close friend of Netanyahu—which is expected to draw both leaders to Washington. Netanyahu's desire to meet with Trump is also fueled by the need to coordinate on the ongoing U.S. blockade of Iranian ports and to discuss regional security following the death of Graham, whom Netanyahu called a "beloved friend" in a recent interview with NBC News on Sunday, July 12. The next procedural milestone will be the scheduling of Graham's funeral, which will determine the exact date of Netanyahu's arrival and whether a formal meeting with Trump can be arranged alongside the memorial service. [NBC News, Jul 12]
Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($66K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 89c YES.
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