As of November 1, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?” at 34% YES with $57K traded. 1 tracked wallet holds a position here; the dominant side is NO.
Prediction markets give a 34% probability to: will trump meet with flávio bolsonaro in 2026?.
On this market: 5/7 models independently agree NO — rare convergence. Full verdict track record on the accuracy page.
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5 of 7 models estimate NO fair value above market (60–85c vs 66c). Kimi Macro leads with 72% confidence.
Models estimate fair value of NO at 74c — market prices it at 66c. 8-point gap supports NO.
Why One Model Disagrees: Grok Contrarian dissents at 48c — Market at 34% YES and wallet/math models at ~28% heavily price base-rate non-meeting inertia plus low $57k volume noise, but ignore tail ...
1 Active Wallets on This Market
The single tracked wallet is positioned exclusively on NO at 56c, signaling a directional bet against a Trump–Flávio Bolsonaro meeting in 2026. With no YES entries from tracked wallets, smart-money flow leans bearish and reinforces the dominant NO side.
All YES positions are underwater at the 34c mark, while NO holders are in profit after entering around 56c. The lack of any profitable YES exposure suggests weak conviction and little support for a YES repricing, keeping pressure on the 34c level.
Profit/Loss by Side
YES positions
0%in profit
NO positions
100%in profit
Polymarket: 34c YES — $57K Volume
Polymarket prices YES at 34c with $57K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 26c. 8-point gap suggests market may undervalue NO.
What are the current odds for Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
As of November 2026, Polymarket prices this at 34% YES with $57K in total volume.
Where can I bet on Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.
What does smart money say about Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.
What do AI models predict for Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 26c YES. 5 models agree on direction.
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