Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?
NO
89c
YES
11c
As of October 30, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?” at 11% YES with $126K traded. 1 tracked wallet holds a position here; the dominant side is NO.
Prediction markets give a 11% probability to: will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31?.
On this market: 6/7 models independently agree NO — rare convergence. Full verdict track record on the accuracy page.
PRO Analysis
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6 of 7 models estimate NO fair value below market (72–98c vs 89c). Kimi Macro leads with 82% confidence.
Models estimate fair value of NO at 87c — market prices it at 89c. 2-point gap supports YES.
Why One Model Is Uncertain: Claude Analysis at Nonec — not available tonight (Claude CLI session limit or nightly cap)
1 Active Wallets on This Market
The single tracked wallet entered NO at 97c-97c, a near-maximal price that signals strong conviction Trump will not talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31. That positioning aligns with the dominant NO side and implies smart money sees the YES outcome as highly unlikely, reinforcing downward pressure on the YES price.
With YES at 11c, both sides sit at 0% in profit, indicating recent entries are underwater or flat and no cohort has captured gains. The absence of profitable positions suggests thin, range-bound trading with little momentum behind either side. Price support at 11c looks fragile since no profitable YES holders exist to defend it.
Profit/Loss by Side
YES positions
0%in profit
NO positions
0%in profit
Polymarket: 11c YES — $126K Volume
Polymarket prices YES at 11c with $126K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 13c. 2-point gap is within normal range — no significant mispricing.
What are the current odds for Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?
As of October 2026, Polymarket prices this at 11% YES with $126K in total volume.
Where can I bet on Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.
What does smart money say about Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?
OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.
What do AI models predict for Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?
OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 13c YES. 6 models agree on direction.
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