Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?

As of November 3, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?” at 78% YES with $53K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.

Prediction markets put the probability at 78%: Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards. Currently, markets see this as likely (78% YES). At this point, it’s a given that “Wildwood” will cruise to a Best Animated Feature win at the Oscars.

What’s Happening

As of October 26, 2026, awards forecasters have increasingly consolidated around the question of whether Wildwood will win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards, with the Laika stop-motion title holding the top position across major prediction platforms. Gold Derby experts place Wildwood at a 98% chance of nomination, tied with Toy Story 5 at 96.5%, ahead of Iron Boy, Hoppers, and Ray Gunn. The field is described as abnormally competitive, including two Pixar films, Brad Bird's long-gestated noir Ray Gunn, DreamWorks' Forgotten Island, and independent adult-skewing titles such as Tangles, Iron Boy, and In Waves. [Gold Derby, Oct 23]

The central debate now concerns scope rather than nomination. Analysts note that Wildwood could become the first Laika entry to convert a nomination into a win, following nominations for Coraline (2009), ParaNorman (2012), The Boxtrolls (2014), Kubo and the Two Strings (2016), and Missing Link (2019). Commentary from Next Best Picture frames a Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards as a near-given, while Cartoon Contender raises the separate question of a Best Picture nomination, cautioning that voters may omit the film from top-category ballots on the assumption it will prevail in animation. [Next Best Picture, Oct 26]

Attention now shifts to the Academy's nomination announcement and precursor guild results, which historically correlate with animated-feature outcomes. Yahoo reported that Gold Derby experts assign Wildwood a 100% chance of nomination, tied with Toy Story 5, while noting Laika's commercial disappointment on Kubo and the Two Strings did not prevent critical recognition, including a Best Visual Effects nomination. The structural factor determining resolution remains the ranked-preference vote among Academy members, where a competitive field of studio and independent titles could fragment support. [Yahoo, Oct 19]

Traded on Polymarket — $53K Volume