Prediction markets put the probability at 56%: Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May. Currently, markets are divided (56% YES, 44% NO). May 1 (Reuters) - Barclays on Friday raised its 2026 Brent crude forecast to $100 per barrel from $85, citing the impasse in the Strait of Hormuz.
Up from 56% to 64% since 2026-05-07 (+8pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $332K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 64c YES with $332K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.