This market has resolved or is no longer actively tracked. Historical data preserved.
Other
Resolves: Jun 2026 4 days left Volume: $4.2M

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

NO
94c
YES
6c

Prediction markets put the probability at 6%: Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (6% YES).

Down from 70% to 6% since 2026-05-01 (-64pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $4.2M Volume

Active market on Polymarket with $4.2M in total volume. Sufficient liquidity for most position sizes. Currently priced at 6c YES.

Trade this market on Polymarket →
On this market: 7/5 AI models agree NO. Our system has been 100% accurate when 4+ models converge — across 12 resolved markets.
CONFLICTING OUR VERDICT
HOLD

7/7 models agree on NO, fair value 7c vs market 6c. 1 tier-1 wallet aligned with models — BUY NO at 6c.

TARGET YIELD

7 of 7 Models Agree: NO

ModelSaysFair Value estimated fair priceConfidence
MATH Bayesian UpdateNO97c
MATH PIN ModelNO98c
MATH Compound SignalNO85c
AI Claude AnalysisNO98c
95%
AI DeepSeek QuantNO96c
72%
AI Gemini FlashNO85c
70%
AI Kimi MacroNO93c
90%

7 of 7 models estimate NO fair value below market (85–98c vs 94c). Claude Analysis leads with 95% confidence.

Models estimate fair value of NO at 93c — market prices it at 94c. 1-point gap supports YES.

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 47c.

WalletCategorySideAmountP&L
0x4488..19 MMNO$49.3K+118%
See all 80 alpha wallets →  ·  Learn about copy trading →

All NO Positions Are in Profit

NO wallets entered at 47c. At current price 6c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

YES positions
0% in profit
NO positions
100% in profit

Polymarket: 6c YES — $4.2M Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 6c with $4.2M in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 7c. 1-point gap is within normal range — no significant mispricing.

PlatformYES PriceVolume
Polymarket6c$4.2M
Our Model7c

Related Markets

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 6% YES with $4.2M in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.

What do AI models predict for Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 7c YES. 7 models agree on direction.