Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

As of November 3, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?” at 18% YES with $52K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.

You Can See Everything is submitted for best picture, but at 18% odds it is unlikely to win given the 82% no consensus.

What’s Happening

A24 has mounted an unusually broad awards campaign for Nathan Fielder and Lance Oppenheim's documentary You Can See Everything, submitting the film across the board for the 99th Academy Awards, including best picture, director, production design, cinematography, costume design, film editing and makeup and hairstyling, according to the studio's awards site. The film is also eligible for best documentary feature. The breadth of the submission places the question of whether You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards within the formal scope of the race rather than the documentary categories alone. [Variety, Oct 20]

Coverage has framed the campaign as potentially historic. Next Best Picture reported that A24 has a genuine chance to get a documentary film nominated for Best Picture for the first time in 99 years of Academy history, noting a long-shot Best Supporting Actress campaign for Amanda Seyfried could boost the film's top-category prospects. Gold Derby's Best Picture odds tracker, updated Oct. 26, lists the film among its top 15 contenders ranked by combined Rotten Tomatoes and Metacritic scores, with the 99th Academy Awards set for March 14. Betting markets nonetheless place Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey as the heavy favorite at -150, a roughly 60% implied probability. [Next Best Picture, Oct 21]

The central uncertainty is structural: no documentary has ever won Best Picture, and the Academy's Documentary Branch has historically diverged from the broader membership in its nominations. Awards Daily has questioned whether You Can See Everything is "really a major Best Picture contender," while Hardrock's odds coverage describes the film as eyeing history. Whether You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards will depend on nomination-stage support from the directors and actors branches, which must place the film among the final slate before the full membership votes. [Awards Daily, Oct 23]

Traded on Polymarket — $52K Volume