Cincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimova

Prediction markets put the probability at 46%: Cincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimova. Currently, markets are divided (46% YES, 54% NO). The 21-year-old Eala will face American Amanda Anisimova in the Cincinnati Open round of 32 on Monday, Aug.

What’s Happening

The third-round matchup at the Cincinnati Open between Alexandra Eala and Amanda Anisimova is set for Monday, Aug. 17, at approximately 8:30 p.m. Eastern on P&G Center Court at the Lindner Family Tennis Center in Mason, Ohio. This marks the first career meeting between the 21-year-old Filipino qualifier and the 24-year-old American, who enters as the World No. 10 and the tournament's ninth seed. Eala advanced after a three-set win over Alycia Parks on Aug. 15, while Anisimova dispatched Zeynep Sonmez in straight sets on Aug. 13, following a first-round bye. The market currently prices Eala's chances at 46% against Anisimova's 54%, reflecting a narrow gap despite the ranking disparity. [Prizepicks, Mon Aug 17]

The stakes are significant for both players in this Cincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimova carries implications for the WTA rankings and momentum heading into the US Open. Eala, ranked 20th in singles, has posted a 37-19 record in 2026 and is coming off a breakout hard-court season. Anisimova, a four-time WTA titlist and runner-up at both the US Open and Wimbledon last year, holds a 17-10 mark this season but has struggled with consistency. Notably, Tennis Abstract's Elo ratings rank Eala 13th on hard courts versus Anisimova's 18th, suggesting the statistical models view the Filipino's current form as superior to her ranking. This is the first time Eala has reached the third round of a WTA 1000 event on American soil, adding historical weight to the encounter. [Tennis Majors, Sat Aug 15]

Looking ahead, the winner will face either a top-10 seed or a qualifier in the fourth round, with the tournament's hard-court conditions favoring aggressive baseline play. Anisimova's power game and experience in deep Grand Slam runs give her a conventional edge, but Eala's recent form—including a run to the National Bank Open round of 16 earlier this month—has narrowed the gap. The match is scheduled to air on the Tennis Channel in the U.S. and will begin at approximately 8:30 a.m. Philippine time on Tuesday, Aug. 18 for Filipino viewers. Both players are healthy and have had two days of rest since their second-round victories, setting up a high-intensity contest that could hinge on first-serve percentage and return efficiency. The outcome will also shape the draw's bottom quarter, where the winner becomes a dark-horse candidate for the semifinals. [Tennis.com, Mon Aug 17]

Traded on Polymarket — $84K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($84K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 46c YES.