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Resolves: Jul 2026 15 days left Volume: $56K

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?

NO
95c
YES
5c

Prediction markets put the probability at 5%: Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (5% YES). US Navy deploys over 20 warships in Middle East for regional security.

Currently at 5%

Traded on Polymarket — $56K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($56K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 5c YES.

Trade this market on Polymarket →
OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.
PRO Analysis

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
As of July 2026, Polymarket prices this at 5% YES with $56K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.