How did 'Chirayu Rana sued?' resolve?

The market resolved YES on May 20, 2026. YES redeemed at $1.00 per share.

Was the AI verdict correct?

AI consensus leaned NO but the market resolved YES. The verdict did not match the outcome.

Other

Resolved: May 20, 2026 Closed at $1.00 YES Final volume: $278.8K

Chirayu Rana sued?

Resolved · MAY 20

YES

100c

Market resolved YES at $1.00. AI consensus leaned NO (3 of 5 models agreed) but the outcome went the other way.

MODERATE RESULT

YES WON 100c

AI consensus leaned NO with MODERATE conviction (3 of 5 models). Outcome went the other way: YES won.

Stop Loss Target Final

2 of 5 Models Agreed: YES — Outcome Matched

Model	Said	Fair Value estimated fair price of YES	Confidence
PIN Model	NO	2c	96%
Compound Signal	YES	58c	16%
DeepSeek Quant	NO	30c	65%
Gemini Flash	YES	65c	60%
Kimi Macro	NO	70c	65%

Aggregate fair-value estimate: 45c YES. Outcome confirmed: market resolved at 100c YES / 0c NO.

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 20c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x5188..04	MM	NO	$1.0K	+50%
This Market Entered at 20c → now 50c (+50%), $1.0K on NO Activity · 1 event · May 06 DatePositionAmountTotal May 06BUYNO20+$691$691 Realized— Unrealized+$347 Total Profit+$347 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1542) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

See all 87 tracked wallets → · Learn about copy trading →

0% Capital on Winning Side

Tracked alpha wallets held YES at the last snapshot. YES redeemed at $1.00 when the market closed. Combined realized P&L: -$1,038 on $1.0K capital deployed (avg -100.0%).

Profit/Loss by Side (final)

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

100% lost

Price History — Polymarket

Platform	Last YES Price	Volume	Final
Polymarket	70c	$278.8K	100c
AI Consensus	45c	—	× missed

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