Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?'?

As of August 2026, prediction markets price this at 6% YES on Polymarket with $113K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

94c

YES

Prediction markets give a 6% probability to: hamad bin isa al khalifa out as leader of bahrain by december 31, 2026?.

Price has been stable at 6% since 2026-07-03

Traded on Polymarket — $113K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 6c YES with $113K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets on every alpha market. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.

PRO Analysis

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CONFLICTING OUR VERDICT

HOLD

Smart money entered NO at 91c. 100% of NO wallets in profit.

— TARGET YIELD

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 91c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xcaab..dd	Retail	NO	$2.4K	+4%
This Market Entered at 91c → now 94c (+4%), $2.4K on NO Activity · 1 event · Jul 23 DatePositionAmountTotal Jul 23BUYNO91+$2,354$2,354 Realized— Unrealized+$91 Total Profit+$91 Wallet Type Active retail with decent track record (100% over 1614 trades).

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All NO Positions Are in Profit

NO wallets entered at 91c. At current price 6c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

100% in profit

Polymarket: 6c YES — $113K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 6c with $113K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 6c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	6c	$113K
Our Model	6c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?

As of August 2026, Polymarket prices this at 6% YES with $113K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.