Was the AI verdict correct?

No AI verdict was issued at the time of resolution.

Other

Resolved: Jul 21, 2026 Closed at $1.00 NO Final volume: $11.8M

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Q: How did 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?' resolve?

The market resolved NO on Jul 21, 2026. NO redeemed at $1.00 per share.

Resolved · JUL 21

100c

YES

Market resolved NO at $1.00. 7 tracked alpha wallets — final positions preserved below.

NO won @ $1.00

Resolved Jul 21, 2026Final volume $11.8M

OddsShift did not have an AI verdict for this market at the time of resolution.

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What Happened

The market resolved NO at $1.00 on Jul 21, 2026. NO holders redeemed in full, YES holders went to zero.

Final lifetime volume reached $11.8M across 7 tracked wallets above the $1K threshold.

5 of 7 Tracked Wallets Held NO — Correct Side

We tracked 7 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. 5 held NO (redeemed at $1.00) — the other 2 held YES and lost their stake when the market resolved.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x0c0e..4e	MM	NO	$88.3K	+8%
This Market Entered at 87c → now 50c (+8%), $88.3K on NO Activity · 8 events · Jun 14 → Jul 03 DatePositionAmountTotal Jun 14BUYNO64+$41$41 Jun 17BUYNO63+$592$632 Jun 18BUYNO64+$1,627$2,272 Jun 19BUYNO73+$8,845$11,438 Jun 23BUYNO78+$1,996$14,214 Jun 24BUYNO76+$6,235$20,086 Jul 02BUYNO93+$18,661$43,145 Jul 03BUYNO93+$43,544$86,856 Realized— Unrealized+$6,717 Total Profit+$6,717
0x0845..6f	MM	NO	$9.9K	+26%
This Market Entered at 73c → now 50c (+26%), $9.9K on NO Activity · 4 events · Jun 27 → Jul 03 DatePositionAmountTotal Jun 27BUYNO71+$18,493$18,493 Jul 01SELLNO85−$5,343$16,859 Jul 02BUYNO90+$3,517$21,368 Jul 03SELLNO92−$12,207$9,635 Realized+$3,286 Unrealized+$2,220 Total Profit+$5,506
0xd039..32	MM	NO	$3.9K	+35%
This Market Entered at 70c → now 50c (+35%), $3.9K on NO Activity · 1 event · Jun 25 DatePositionAmountTotal Jun 25BUYNO70+$2,896$2,897 Realized— Unrealized+$1,018 Total Profit+$1,018
0xde7b..4b	MM	YES	$2.6K	-79%
This Market Entered at 16c → now 50c (-79%), $2.6K on YES Activity · 2 events · Jun 29 → Jul 01 DatePositionAmountTotal Jun 29BUYYES19+$4,172$4,172 Jul 01BUYYES13+$3,341$6,196 Realized— Unrealized−$4,892 Total Profit−$4,892
0x22db..0f	Retail	NO	$1.9K	+35%
This Market Entered at 70c → now 50c (+35%), $1.9K on NO Activity · 2 events · Jun 22 → Jun 23 DatePositionAmountTotal Jun 22BUYNO69+$966$966 Jun 23BUYNO71+$426$1,420 Realized— Unrealized+$498 Total Profit+$498
0xc658..84	MM	YES	$1.4K	-82%
This Market Entered at 31c → now 50c (-82%), $1.4K on YES Activity · 1 event · Jun 22 DatePositionAmountTotal Jun 22BUYYES31+$7,921$7,922 Realized— Unrealized−$6,503 Total Profit−$6,503
0x5cd5..33 ★	Retail	NO	$1.2K	+4%
This Market Entered at 91c → now 50c (+4%), $1.2K on NO Activity · 2 events · Jul 02 → Jul 03 DatePositionAmountTotal Jul 02BUYNO90+$799$799 Jul 03BUYNO93+$403$1,228 Realized— Unrealized+$46 Total Profit+$46

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