Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?'?

As of July 2026, prediction markets price this at 46% YES on Polymarket with $188K in total trading volume.

54c

YES

46c

Prediction markets put the probability at 46%: Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15. Currently, markets are divided (46% YES, 54% NO). Israel should worry about Saudi deal, but there is good news in Lebanon.

Currently at 46%

Traded on Polymarket — $188K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 46c YES with $188K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?

As of July 2026, Polymarket prices this at 46% YES with $188K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.