Prediction markets put the probability at 22%: Kash Patel out by May 31. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (22% YES). On April 17, 2026, The Atlantic published an article alleging that FBI Director Kash Patel had a drinking problem.
Polymarket prices this at 22c YES with $102K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.
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