Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?
NO
90c
YES
10c
As of October 19, 2026, Polymarket prices “Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?” at 10% YES with $62K traded. 2 tracked wallets hold a position here; the dominant side is NO.
Prediction markets give a 10% probability to: trump renames new mexico to new america by december 31, 2026?.
On this market: 6/7 models independently agree NO — rare convergence. Full verdict track record on the accuracy page.
PRO Analysis
See which tracked wallets hold this market (entries, size, P&L), the models’ fair value and entry targets — and get an alert within a minute when they trade.
6 of 7 models estimate NO fair value above market (73–98c vs 90c). Kimi Macro leads with 95% confidence.
Models estimate fair value of NO at 91c — market prices it at 90c. 1-point gap supports NO.
Why One Model Is Uncertain: Claude Analysis at Nonec — not available tonight (Claude CLI session limit or nightly cap)
2 Active Wallets on This Market
Both tracked wallets are positioned exclusively on NO at 87c-92c, signaling conviction that the rename will not occur by the deadline. Their entries near the top of the NO range indicate they see little residual YES risk, reinforcing the dominant NO side and limiting upward price pressure on YES.
With YES at 10c, all YES holders are underwater while half of NO positions are in profit, reflecting a market that has steadily repriced toward NO. NO entries at 87c-92c leave thin upside but strong probability-weighted support, capping any YES rally near the low teens.
Profit/Loss by Side
YES positions
0%in profit
NO positions
50%in profit
Polymarket: 10c YES — $62K Volume
Polymarket prices YES at 10c with $62K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 9c. 1-point gap is within normal range — no significant mispricing.
What are the current odds for Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?
As of October 2026, Polymarket prices this at 10% YES with $62K in total volume.
Where can I bet on Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.
What does smart money say about Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?
OddsShift tracks 2 smart money wallets on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.
What do AI models predict for Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?
OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 9c YES. 6 models agree on direction.
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