Geopolitics
Resolves: Nov 2026 3 days left Volume: $81K

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?

NO
94c
YES
6c

As of October 30, 2026, Polymarket prices “US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?” at 6% YES with $81K traded. 1 tracked wallet holds a position here, 1 of them tier-1; the dominant side is NO.

Prediction markets give a 6% probability to: us announces end of iranian blockade by november 2, 2026?.

Currently at 6%

Traded on Polymarket — $81K Volume

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HOLD · NO ENTRY AI VERDICT
HOLD

Smart money entered NO at 95c.

— TARGET YIELD

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 95c.

WalletCategorySideAmountP&L
0x5cd5..33 ★RetailNO$9.7K-2%
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No Positions Are Currently in Profit

NO wallets entered at 95c. At current price 6c, none of the NO holders are profitable vs none of the YES holders are profitable. Both sides have similar profitability — no structural edge.

YES positions
0% in profit
NO positions
0% in profit

Polymarket: 6c YES — $81K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 6c with $81K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 6c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

PlatformYES PriceVolume
Polymarket6c$81K
Our Model6c—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?

As of October 2026, Polymarket prices this at 6% YES with $81K in total volume.

Where can I bet on US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.