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Resolves: Dec 2026 7 months left Volume: $330K

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

NO
68c
YES
32c

Prediction markets put the probability at 33%: Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027. Currently, markets are divided (33% YES, 67% NO).

Down from 38% to 32% since 2026-04-13 (-6pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $330K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 32c YES with $330K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 32% YES with $330K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.