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Resolves: Jan 2027 3 months left Volume: $342K

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

NO
90c
YES
10c

As of August 31, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?” at 10% YES with $342K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.

Prediction markets put the probability at 14%: Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (14% YES).

Down from 30% to 10% since 2026-06-10 (-20pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $342K Volume

Trade this market on Polymarket →
OddsShift analysis: up to 5 AI models + 166 tracked wallets on every market with smart-money data. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.

No verdict on this market

None of the 166 tracked wallets holds a position here, so the Radar makes no call — price, volume and news above are live. When a tracked wallet takes a position, this page gets a verdict.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
As of September 2026, Polymarket prices this at 10% YES with $342K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.