Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?'?

As of August 2026, prediction markets price this at 16% YES on Polymarket with $341K in total trading volume.

84c

YES

16c

Prediction markets put the probability at 16%: Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (16% YES).

Down from 32% to 16% since 2026-05-29 (-16pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $341K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 16c YES with $341K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

As of August 2026, Polymarket prices this at 16% YES with $341K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.