Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
NO
68c
YES
32c
Prediction markets put the probability at 33%: Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027. Currently, markets are divided (33% YES, 67% NO).
Down from 38% to 32% since 2026-04-13 (-6pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $330K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 32c YES with $330K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.