Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
NO
93c
YES
7c
As of October 4, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?” at 7% YES with $59K traded. 1 tracked wallet holds a position here; the dominant side is NO.
Prediction markets give a 7% probability to: will avengers: doomsday be the #1 searched movie on google this year?.
On this market: 6/7 models independently agree NO — rare convergence. Full verdict track record on the accuracy page.
PRO Analysis
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6 of 7 models estimate NO fair value below market (74–98c vs 93c). Gemini Flash leads with 80% confidence.
Models estimate fair value of NO at 88c — market prices it at 93c. 5-point gap supports YES.
Why One Model Disagrees: Grok Contrarian dissents at 28c — Market's 7% YES (and PIN's 2%) massively underprices MCU tentpole search dominance and black-swan hype cycles; Avengers films routinely 5...
1 Active Wallets on This Market
The single tracked wallet is exclusively positioned on NO at 89c, signaling high-conviction bearishness on Avengers: Doomsday topping Google search this year. With no YES entries from this wallet, the smart-money read is that the market is overpricing a long-shot outcome and the NO side remains the directional trade.
With YES at 7c, every YES position is underwater while all NO positions are in profit, creating strong one-sided P&L pressure. The absence of profitable YES holders removes any incentive to defend the 7c level, reinforcing downward price gravity. This dynamic favors further NO accumulation unless a catalyst forces a sharp repricing.
Profit/Loss by Side
YES positions
0%in profit
NO positions
100%in profit
Polymarket: 7c YES — $59K Volume
Polymarket prices YES at 7c with $59K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 12c. 5-point gap suggests market may undervalue YES.
What are the current odds for Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
As of October 2026, Polymarket prices this at 7% YES with $59K in total volume.
Where can I bet on Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.
What does smart money say about Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.
What do AI models predict for Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 12c YES. 6 models agree on direction.
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