Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Prediction markets put the probability at 46%: Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30. Currently, markets are divided (46% YES, 54% NO). Image 1: Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche, flanked by FBI Director Kash Patel and President Donald Trump, speaks during a briefing.

What’s Happening

Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche has emerged as a central figure in the Trump administration’s legal and policy apparatus, with recent actions fueling speculation about a permanent appointment. On April 23, 2026, Blanche signed an order reclassifying state-licensed and FDA-approved medical marijuana from Schedule I to Schedule III, a historic shift in federal drug policy that the White House framed as a public health measure. This move, coupled with Blanche’s April 7 announcement of fraud charges against the Southern Poverty Law Center and his oversight of the investigation into former CIA director John Brennan, has positioned him as a loyal and effective operator. President Donald Trump has publicly commended Blanche’s work, and current and former officials indicate that Blanche’s audition for the top Justice Department post is ongoing, with a decision on whether to formally nominate him expected before the end of June. [Politico, Apr 27]

The procedural timeline for a potential nomination is tight. If President Donald Trump were to announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General, the Senate Judiciary Committee would need to schedule a confirmation hearing and a committee vote before a floor vote by the full Senate. The current 46% probability that Trump will make this announcement by June 30 reflects the uncertainty surrounding Blanche’s status as acting attorney general—a role he can hold indefinitely without Senate confirmation. However, a formal nomination would trigger a 30-day review period by the FBI and a subsequent committee markup, meaning any announcement after May 25 would risk missing the June 30 deadline for a full confirmation vote. Blanche’s recent travel to Florida to meet with a prosecutor handling the Brennan case underscores his hands-on management style, which allies say strengthens his case for a permanent role. [CNN, Apr 21]

The broader political context adds urgency to the decision. On April 25, 2026, a shooting outside the White House Correspondents’ Association dinner targeted Trump and cabinet officials, with Blanche appearing alongside the president and FBI Director Kash Patel at a subsequent press conference. This incident, which left a Secret Service member injured, has heightened security concerns and may accelerate the administration’s desire for a confirmed attorney general to lead the Justice Department’s response. Meanwhile, Blanche’s reclassification of medical marijuana has drawn praise from advocacy groups but criticism from some conservative lawmakers, potentially complicating his confirmation vote. If Trump does not announce Blanche by June 30, the acting attorney general could continue to run the department indefinitely, as Politico noted, but the lack of a formal nomination would leave the DOJ without a Senate-confirmed leader during a period of high-profile legal battles. [Times of Israel, Apr 26]

Traded on Polymarket — $77K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($77K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 46c YES.