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Resolves: Jan 2027 ended Volume: $195K

Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?

YES
95c
NO
5c

As of August 31, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?” at 95% YES with $195K traded. No tracked smart-money wallet holds a position on this market yet.

Prediction markets put the probability at 95%: Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31. Currently, markets see this as likely (95% YES).

Up from 90% to 95% since 2026-04-21 (+5pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $195K Volume

Trade this market on Polymarket →
OddsShift analysis: up to 5 AI models + 166 tracked wallets on every market with smart-money data. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.

No tracked smart-money positions on this market yet

OddsShift follows 166 on-chain Polymarket wallets, tiered daily by their record on resolved markets. When one of them takes a position here, this page gets the wallet table, model fair value and a verdict.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
As of September 2026, Polymarket prices this at 95% YES with $195K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.