Prediction markets put the probability at 34%: Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Song Yadong next. Currently, markets are divided (34% YES, 66% NO). UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs.
The UFC bantamweight title picture sharpened in early June 2026 as Umar Nurmagomedov was booked against a 14-1 contender at UFC Abu Dhabi on July 25, headlining a co-main slot that effectively positions him for a second title shot. Nurmagomedov, cousin of Khabib Nurmagomedov, has won back-to-back fights since losing a decision to champion Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 311 in January 2025. The booking complicates the next-challenger calculus for Dvalishvili, with the question of whether Merab Dvalishvili fight Song Yadong next hinging on how the Abu Dhabi card resolves the contender queue [Bloody Elbow, Jun 01].
Song Yadong remains in active fight-week coverage cycles heading into UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim on June 6, 2026 in Las Vegas, with UFC.com circulating preview and octagon interview content from his recent UFC Macau appearance. Bantamweight contenders including Marcus McGhee are also slotted on the same card, indicating that the division's title-elimination chain is still being assembled around multiple fighters rather than a single declared challenger. The volume of contemporaneous bantamweight bookings has thus far not produced a confirmed Dvalishvili–Song matchmaking announcement [UFC, Jun 03].
Broader UFC programming through summer 2026 features UFC 329 with Conor McGregor vs. Max Holloway and UFC Freedom 250 headlined by Topuria, both occupying premium pay-per-view slots that typically anchor title-fight scheduling decisions. Whether Merab Dvalishvili fight Song Yadong next resolves YES depends on the July 25 Abu Dhabi outcome involving Umar Nurmagomedov, the disposition of other ranked bantamweights cycling through June and July cards, and UFC matchmaking timing for the next vacant championship slot. No official announcement pairing Dvalishvili with Song has been issued as of the early-June news cycle [CBS Sports, Jun 03].
Polymarket prices this at 34c YES with $184K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.
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