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Resolves: Jun 2026 34 days left Volume: $410K

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

NO
90c
YES
10c

Prediction markets put the probability at 8%: Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (8% YES).

Down from 28% to 10% since 2026-04-11 (-18pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $410K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 10c YES with $410K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

Trade this market on Polymarket →
OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.
PRO Analysis

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OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models and tracks 166 smart money wallets. Get BUY/SELL verdicts, entry targets, wallet positions, and P&L data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 10% YES with $410K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.