Prediction markets put the probability at 9%: Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in July. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (9% YES). Markets News, July 8, 2026: Dow, S&P 500 End Lower, Oil Prices Jump as Trump Says Iran Truce ‘Over,’ Threatens Further Attacks.
Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($50K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 9c YES.
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