Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?'?

As of October 2026, prediction markets price this at 34% YES on Polymarket with $83K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

66c

YES

34c

As of October 25, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?” at 34% YES with $83K traded. 1 tracked wallet holds a position here; the dominant side is YES.

Prediction markets give a 34% probability to: will the democratic party win the nc-09 house seat?.

Currently at 34%

Traded on Polymarket — $83K Volume

Trade this market on Polymarket →

OddsShift analysis: up to 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets on every market with smart-money data. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.

PRO Analysis

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MODERATE AI VERDICT

BUY YES 34c

Smart money entered YES at 30c. 100% of YES wallets in profit.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. YES wallets entered between 30c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x44c1..c1	MM	YES	$7.5K	+11%
This Market Entered at 30c → now 34c (+11%), $7.5K on YES Activity · 1 event · Oct 25 DatePositionAmountTotal Oct 25BUYYES30+$6,757$6,758 Realized— Unrealized+$739 Total Profit+$739 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (854) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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All YES Positions Are in Profit

YES wallets entered between 30c. At current price 34c, all YES holders are profitable while all NO buyers are underwater. Profitable positions rarely sell early — YES side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

100% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket: 34c YES — $83K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 34c with $83K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 34c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	34c	$83K
Our Model	34c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?

As of October 2026, Polymarket prices this at 34% YES with $83K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.