Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?

Prediction markets put the probability at 9%: Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (9% YES). Box Office: ‘Devil Wears Prada 2’ Poised for Massive Debut Above $80 Million Domestically, $180 Million Globally.

What’s Happening

As of late April 2026, the question of whether "The Devil Wears Prada 2" opening weekend box office be between 90m and 100m is drawing significant skepticism from market participants, with the probability of a "YES" outcome sitting at just 9%. This cautious outlook emerges despite a wide range of forecasts from major industry trackers. Boxoffice Pro projects a robust opening between $95 million and $105 million, which would place the film squarely within the 90m–100m bracket. However, other outlets are more conservative: Variety reports a target debut of $75 million to $80 million from 4,100 North American theaters, while Deadline similarly estimates a domestic start of $73 million to $80 million. Box Office Theory offers a broader range of $70 million to $95 million, with studio tracking at $70 million+. The divergence in these projections suggests that while a $90m+ opening is possible, it remains an outlier scenario according to the consensus of established analysts. [Variety, Apr 29] [Boxoffice Pro, Apr 29] [Deadline, Apr 29]

The significance of the "The Devil Wears Prada 2" opening weekend box office be between 90m and 100m question lies in the film's potential to reshape the summer box office landscape. The sequel to the 2006 hit is positioned as a rare non-fanboy tentpole, with early reactions described as generally positive. Yahoo reports that the film could out-earn the lifetime domestic gross of the original—$94.18 million—within its first two weeks if it opens to even the middling estimate of $80 million. A debut above $90 million would not only surpass the original's entire run in a single weekend but also place the sequel among the year's top openings, rivaling films like "Project Hail Mary." The global outlook is equally strong, with Deadline noting a potential near $180 million worldwide debut across a 100% offshore footprint. This performance is critical for 20th Century Studios and Disney as they aim to sustain box office momentum following Lionsgate's "Michael." [Yahoo, Apr 29] [Deadline, Apr 29]

Looking ahead, the final outcome of the "The Devil Wears Prada 2" opening weekend box office be between 90m and 100m market will be determined by actual ticket sales from May 1 through May 3, 2026, when the film opens in over 4,100 North American theaters. The primary variable is whether walk-up business and strong word-of-mouth can push the opening beyond the $80 million ceiling that most conservative forecasts predict. Boxoffice Pro's higher-end estimate of $105 million suggests that a surprise breakout is not out of the question, particularly given the film's appeal to female audiences—a demographic that can drive late-deciding ticket purchases. Conversely, if the film lands closer to the $70 million–$80 million range, the 91% "NO" probability in the market will be validated. The industry will be watching closely, as the result will set the tone for the summer movie season and provide a key data point on the commercial viability of legacy sequels outside the superhero genre. [Box Office Theory

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