Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?

Prediction markets put the probability at 17%: Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (17% YES). Weekend Preview: DEVIL WEARS PRADA 2 Will Walk the Runway in Style with Potential $100M Bow.

What’s Happening

As of late April 2026, industry tracking for "The Devil Wears Prada 2" indicates a domestic opening weekend box office likely to exceed $70 million, with several major outlets projecting a debut well above that threshold. Boxoffice Pro forecasts a range of $95 million to $105 million, while Variety reports a target of $75 million to $80 million from 4,100 North American theaters. The Hollywood Reporter and Deadline both estimate a U.S. opening between $70 million and $80 million, with global projections nearing $180 million. These figures suggest the sequel to the 2006 hit is poised for a strong start to the summer box office season, driven by positive early reactions and significant audience anticipation. [Boxoffice Pro, Apr 29] [Variety, Apr 29]

The consensus among analysts is that the "The Devil Wears Prada 2" opening weekend box office be less than 70m is highly unlikely, with most tracking services placing the floor at $70 million and the ceiling above $100 million. Box Office Theory notes a forecast range of $70 million to $95 million, while Deadline specifically cites a domestic start of $73 million to $80 million. The film's release as counter-programming to typical summer blockbusters, combined with the star power of returning cast members and a nostalgic fanbase, has created a broad expectation of a debut that comfortably clears the $70 million mark. This widespread industry confidence is reflected in the market's current probability of 83% that the opening will exceed that threshold. [Deadline, Apr 29] [Box Office Theory, Apr 29]

Looking ahead, the key question is not whether the film will surpass $70 million, but by how much. The most optimistic projections from Boxoffice Pro suggest a potential opening as high as $105 million, which would far exceed the total domestic lifetime gross of the original film ($94.18 million). However, the lower end of forecasts from The Hollywood Reporter and others place the debut at $70 million to $75 million, leaving a narrow window where the "The Devil Wears Prada 2" opening weekend box office be less than 70m could still occur if audience turnout falls short of expectations. The film's actual performance will be confirmed when official weekend box office figures are released on Sunday, May 3, 2026, providing a definitive answer to the market's central question. [Hollywood Reporter, Apr 29]

Traded on Polymarket — $79K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($79K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 17c YES.