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Resolves: Jul 2026 34 days left Volume: $78K

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?

YES
73c
NO
27c

Prediction markets put the probability at 73%: Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026. Currently, markets see this as likely (73% YES).

Currently at 73%

Traded on Polymarket — $78K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($78K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 73c YES.

Trade this market on Polymarket →
OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.
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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?
As of June 2026, Polymarket prices this at 73% YES with $78K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.