Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
NO
82c
YES
18c
Prediction markets put the probability at 18%: Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (18% YES).
Currently at 18%
Traded on Polymarket — $224K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 18c YES with $224K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.