Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
NO
86c
YES
14c
Prediction markets put the probability at 14%: Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (14% YES). Measles case confirmed in Macomb County -- here’s what to know.
Price has been stable at 14% since 2026-04-14
Traded on Polymarket — $171K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 14c YES with $171K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.