Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
NO
89c
YES
11c
Prediction markets put the probability at 11%: Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (11% YES).
Currently at 11%
Traded on Polymarket — $179K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 11c YES with $179K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.