Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?

As of August 2026, prediction markets price this at 5% YES on Polymarket with $63K in total trading volume.

95c

YES

Prediction markets put the probability at 5%: Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (5% YES).

Down from 10% to 5% since 2026-05-11 (-5pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $63K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($63K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 5c YES.

OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets on every alpha market. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.

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As of August 2026, Polymarket prices this at 5% YES with $63K in total volume.

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.