Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?'?

As of October 2026, prediction markets price this at 90% YES on Polymarket with $61K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

YES

90c

10c

As of October 30, 2026, Polymarket prices “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?” at 90% YES with $61K traded. 1 tracked wallet holds a position here; the dominant side is YES.

Prediction markets give a 90% probability to: israel x iran ceasefire continues through november 3?.

Price has been stable at 90% since 2026-10-29

Traded on Polymarket — $61K Volume

Trade this market on Polymarket →

OddsShift analysis: up to 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets on every market with smart-money data. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.

PRO Analysis

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MODERATE AI VERDICT

BUY YES 90c

Smart money entered YES at 92c.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. YES wallets entered between 92c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x12d6..a8	Retail	YES	$2.4K	-3%
This Market Entered at 92c → now 90c (-3%), $2.4K on YES Activity · 2 events · Oct 29 → Oct 30 DatePositionAmountTotal Oct 29BUYYES94+$1,593$1,593 Oct 30BUYYES90+$824$2,348 Realized— Unrealized−$65 Total Profit−$65 Wallet Type Active retail with decent track record (100% over 1442 trades).

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No Positions Are Currently in Profit

YES wallets entered between 92c. At current price 90c, none of the NO holders are profitable vs none of the YES holders are profitable. Both sides have similar profitability — no structural edge.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket: 90c YES — $61K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 90c with $61K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 90c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	90c	$61K
Our Model	90c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?

As of October 2026, Polymarket prices this at 90% YES with $61K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.