Revolut IPO before 2027?

As of August 21, 2026, Polymarket prices “Revolut IPO before 2027?” at 6% YES with $61K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.

Prediction markets put the probability at 6%: Revolut IPO before 2027. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (6% YES). Revolut has not set an official IPO date.

What’s Happening

Revolut’s path to a public listing has shifted decisively toward the latter half of the decade, with the latest probability of an initial public offering before 2027 standing at just 6%. In a December 2025 interview, CEO Nik Storonsky stated a listing is “most likely” two to three years away, pushing the earliest window to 2027 or 2028. This marks a sharp reversal from earlier expectations; a March 2025 Wall Street Journal report had suggested a 2026 listing was widely anticipated. The company’s completion of a $75 billion secondary share sale in November 2025—a 67% jump from its $45 billion valuation in August 2024—provided liquidity to employees but did not accelerate the timeline for a public debut. [CMC Markets, Mar 17]

Regulatory hurdles in the United States are a primary driver of the delay. Storonsky told European media that Revolut is focused on obtaining a U.S. banking license ahead of its IPO, with an anticipated timeline extending to early 2027 for that approval. The license would grant access to Fedwire and the ACH payment networks, enabling expansion of its payments business in the U.S. market. A Bloomberg report from April 2026 confirmed the company’s “official target” for securing the charter is four months, but the overall listing plan has been pushed to at least 2028. The company also indicated it may pursue additional secondary share transactions to boost its valuation ahead of that later listing, suggesting the revolut ipo process will be a multi-year endeavor rather than a near-term event. [American Banker, Apr 21]

The market’s 94% probability against a pre-2027 listing aligns with the company’s own stated trajectory and the broader fintech IPO climate. Crunchbase had listed Revolut as a “very likely” candidate for a 2026 public offering in its January predictions, but that forecast has since been overtaken by the company’s explicit guidance. The revolut ipo timeline now hinges on two sequential milestones: the U.S. banking license approval expected in early 2027, followed by a potential listing in 2028. This sequencing mirrors the approach of other fintech firms seeking regulatory clarity before public markets, though Revolut’s $75 billion valuation and investor backing from Coatue, Greenoaks, and Dragoneer provide substantial financial runway. Storonsky has confirmed the company does not plan to remain private indefinitely, but the operational and regulatory prerequisites remain the binding constraint on any near-term listing. [Crunchbase News, Jan 06]

Traded on Polymarket — $61K Volume