Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?'?

As of June 2026, prediction markets price this at 20% YES on Polymarket with $57K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

80c

YES

20c

Prediction markets give a 20% probability to: russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31, 2026?.

Currently at 20%

Traded on Polymarket — $57K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($57K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 20c YES.

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OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

STRONG OUR VERDICT

BUY NO 80c

Smart money entered NO at 80c. 100% of NO wallets in profit.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 80c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x5cd5..33 ★	MM	NO	$1.3K	+1%
★ Tier-1 Wallet 80%+ accuracy across 291 resolved markets This Market Entered at 80c → now 80c (+1%), $1.3K on NO Activity · 1 event · Jun 04 DatePositionAmountTotal Jun 04BUYNO80+$1,255$1,255 Realized— Unrealized+$8 Total Profit+$8 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1850) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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All NO Positions Are in Profit

NO wallets entered at 80c. At current price 20c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

100% in profit

Polymarket: 20c YES — $57K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 20c with $57K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 20c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	20c	$57K
Our Model	20c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

As of June 2026, Polymarket prices this at 20% YES with $57K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.