As of October 3, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?” at 84% YES with $978K traded. 3 tracked wallets hold a position here; the dominant side is YES.
Prediction markets give a 84% probability to: will anthropic ipo by december 31, 2026?.
On this market: 4/6 models independently agree YES — rare convergence. Full verdict track record on the accuracy page.
PRO Analysis
See which tracked wallets hold this market (entries, size, P&L), the models’ fair value and entry targets — and get an alert within a minute when they trade.
4 of 6 models estimate YES fair value above market (82–98c vs 84c). Kimi Macro leads with 78% confidence.
Models estimate fair value of YES at 89c — market prices it at 84c. 5-point gap supports YES.
Why One Model Disagrees: Claude Analysis dissents at 38c — The PIN 98%/84% market price rests on extremely thin evidence — just 3 wallets, 0 tier-1, zero contra — so the 'informed capital' signal ...
3 Market Makers Providing Liquidity
Smart money is uniformly positioned on YES, with no tracked wallet expressing a NO view, signaling strong directional consensus toward an Anthropic IPO by the deadline. Entries clustered at 74c-82c indicate these wallets accumulated before the market firmed to 84c, implying they expect further upside rather than viewing current levels as a ceiling. The lack of contrarian positioning leaves the bullish thesis unchallenged among tracked participants.
Wallet
Category
Side
Amount
P&L
0xc658..84
MM
YES
$17.3K
+2%
This Market
Entered at 82c → now 84c (+2%), $17.3K on YES
Activity · 2 events · Aug 27 → Oct 01
DatePositionAmountTotal
Aug 27BUYYES93+$1,404$1,404
Oct 01BUYYES81+$15,606$16,834
Realized—
Unrealized+$279
Total Profit+$279
Wallet Type
Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1780) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
All three tracked wallets holding YES are in profit, with entries between 74c and 82c against a current 84c mark, yielding modest gains of 2c-10c per share. The absence of any NO positions means there is no losing cohort providing resistance or profit-taking pressure from the bearish side. This one-sided profitability suggests holders have little incentive to sell into strength, reinforcing price support near the 80c-84c range.
Profit/Loss by Side
YES positions
100%in profit
NO positions
0%in profit
Polymarket: 84c YES — $978K Volume
Polymarket prices YES at 84c with $978K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 89c. 5-point gap suggests market may undervalue YES.
What are the current odds for Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
As of October 2026, Polymarket prices this at 84% YES with $978K in total volume.
Where can I bet on Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.
What does smart money say about Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
OddsShift tracks 3 smart money wallets on this market. Dominant position: YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.
What do AI models predict for Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 89c YES. 4 models agree on direction.
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