Ethereum Price Prediction 2026

Smart money positioning across 14 price brackets. 1 alpha wallets tracked. $9.0M total volume.

One verdict per market a tracked wallet holds 3 math models + up to 5 AI models behind it 166 tracked wallets tiered daily by their record

Where will Ethereum finish 2026? Polymarket breaks this question into 14 separate brackets — each one a real-money market. We pulled them onto one page and overlaid alpha wallet data, so you can see where smart money stands at every price level.

1 alpha wallets are tracked across these brackets. The strongest signal: 1 wallets positioned NO at $4,000. Not every bracket has wallet activity — where you see zeros, smart money hasn't taken a position yet. That's data too.

Alpha wallets are on-chain addresses with 85%+ accuracy on resolved prediction markets. We track 89 of them. When they move — it's signal, not noise. How it works →

Each row = a price target. The bar = market probability (what all traders collectively think). The wallet count = how many alpha wallets have taken a position. YES ▲ means they think Ethereum will reach this price by end of 2026. NO ▼ means they're betting against it — they don't think it will get there.

$2,800
30%0 wallets —
$2,900
18%0 wallets —
$3,000
44%0 wallets —
$3,000
12%0 wallets —
$3,500
20%0 wallets —
$4,000
9%1 wallets ▼ NO

Downside risk levels. YES ▲ here means wallets think Ethereum will touch this price at some point during 2026 — even if it recovers after. NO ▼ means they don't think it will drop that low.

$2,400
68%0 wallets —
$2,250
50%0 wallets —
$2,200
24%0 wallets —
$2,100
16%0 wallets —
$2,000
26%0 wallets —
$1,750
12%0 wallets —
$1,500
8%0 wallets —
$1,250
6%0 wallets —

This page updates every 6 hours as wallet positions and market prices change. Total volume across all brackets: $9.0M.

How do we track wallets? · See all 89 tracked wallets · What is an AI Verdict?

Browse by category

Politics
42 with a verdict · 140 tracked
US elections, impeachment odds, global leaders
Sports
1 with a verdict · 61 tracked
NBA Finals, World Cup 2026, Champions League, F1
Geopolitics
47 with a verdict · 135 tracked
Regime change, ceasefire timelines, sanctions
Crypto
11 with a verdict · 116 tracked
Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, DeFi events
Economics
20 with a verdict · 64 tracked
Fed rate decisions, inflation, recession odds
Other
34 with a verdict · 1609 tracked
Tech acquisitions, product launches, cultural events

Also tracked — no verdict yet (602)

Markets where none of the tracked wallets holds a position: live price, volume and news, no call.