Smart money positioning across 13 price brackets. 4 alpha wallets tracked. $3.2M total volume.
Where will Ethereum finish 2026? Polymarket breaks this question into 13 separate brackets — each one a real-money market. We pulled them onto one page and overlaid alpha wallet data, so you can see where smart money stands at every price level.
4 alpha wallets are tracked across these brackets. The strongest signal: 1 wallets positioned NO at $1,000. Not every bracket has wallet activity — where you see zeros, smart money hasn't taken a position yet. That's data too.
Alpha wallets are on-chain addresses with 85%+ accuracy on resolved prediction markets. We track 162 of them. When they move — it's signal, not noise. How it works →
Each row = a price target. The bar = market probability (what all traders collectively think). The wallet count = how many alpha wallets have taken a position. YES ▲ means they think Ethereum will reach this price by end of 2026. NO ▼ means they're betting against it — they don't think it will get there.
$3,50034%0 wallets — $4,00024%0 wallets — $4,50016%0 wallets — $5,00012%1 wallets ▼ NO $5,50012%1 wallets ▼ NO $6,0008%1 wallets ▼ NO $6,5006%0 wallets — $7,0006%0 wallets — $7,5006%0 wallets — $8,0005%0 wallets —Downside risk levels. YES ▲ here means wallets think Ethereum will touch this price at some point during 2026 — even if it recovers after. NO ▼ means they don't think it will drop that low.
$1,50056%0 wallets — $1,00026%1 wallets ▼ NO $80018%0 wallets —This page updates every 6 hours as wallet positions and market prices change. Total volume across all brackets: $3.2M. Last updated: Apr 13, 2026 16:49 UTC.
How do we track wallets? · See all 162 alpha wallets · What is an AI Verdict?