Bitcoin Price Prediction 2026

Smart money positioning across 29 price brackets. 8 alpha wallets tracked. $34.7M total volume.

One verdict per market a tracked wallet holds 3 math models + up to 5 AI models behind it 166 tracked wallets tiered daily by their record

Where will Bitcoin finish 2026? Polymarket breaks this question into 29 separate brackets — each one a real-money market. We pulled them onto one page and overlaid alpha wallet data, so you can see where smart money stands at every price level.

8 alpha wallets are tracked across these brackets. The strongest signal: 2 wallets positioned NO at $40,000. Not every bracket has wallet activity — where you see zeros, smart money hasn't taken a position yet. That's data too.

Alpha wallets are on-chain addresses with 85%+ accuracy on resolved prediction markets. We track 87 of them. When they move — it's signal, not noise. How it works →

Each row = a price target. The bar = market probability (what all traders collectively think). The wallet count = how many alpha wallets have taken a position. YES ▲ means they think Bitcoin will reach this price by end of 2026. NO ▼ means they're betting against it — they don't think it will get there.

$82,500
68%0 wallets —
$85,000
71%0 wallets —
$85,000
48%0 wallets —
$87,500
32%0 wallets —
$90,000
52%0 wallets —
$90,000
20%0 wallets —
$92,500
12%0 wallets —
$95,000
36%0 wallets —
$95,000
9%0 wallets —
$97,500
6%0 wallets —
$100,000
24%0 wallets —
$110,000
18%1 wallets ▼ NO
$120,000
12%1 wallets ▼ NO
$130,000
7%1 wallets ▼ NO

This page updates every 6 hours as wallet positions and market prices change. Total volume across all brackets: $34.7M.

How do we track wallets? · See all 87 tracked wallets · What is an AI Verdict?

Browse by category

Politics
33 with a verdict · 112 tracked
US elections, impeachment odds, global leaders
Sports
2 with a verdict · 62 tracked
NBA Finals, World Cup 2026, Champions League, F1
Geopolitics
47 with a verdict · 146 tracked
Regime change, ceasefire timelines, sanctions
Crypto
14 with a verdict · 124 tracked
Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, DeFi events
Economics
22 with a verdict · 90 tracked
Fed rate decisions, inflation, recession odds
Other
34 with a verdict · 1461 tracked
Tech acquisitions, product launches, cultural events

Also tracked — no verdict yet (635)

Markets where none of the tracked wallets holds a position: live price, volume and news, no call.