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Science Prediction Markets

Live odds on 26 science prediction markets — measles outbreaks, space missions, climate milestones. Data-driven probabilities on scientific outcomes.

Real-time odds from Polymarket & Kalshi 5 AI models analyze every market 166 top wallets tracked on-chain
Science

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Prediction markets put the probability at 14%: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (14% YES).

NO
86%
YES
14%
+1c edge $423K from 6 alpha ★2 +11% potential
Science

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Prediction markets put the probability at 5%: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (5% YES).

NO
95%
YES
5%
+5c edge $150K from 6 alpha ★1 0% potential
Science

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Prediction markets put the probability at 8%: Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (8% YES).

NO
92%
YES
8%
+2c edge $59K from 3 alpha +4% potential
Science

New pandemic in 2026?

Prediction markets put the probability at 10%: New pandemic in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (10% YES).

NO
88%
YES
12%
0c edge $5K from 1 alpha +7% potential
Science

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Prediction markets put the probability at 38%: Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website. Currently, markets are divided (38% YES, 62% NO).

NO
61%
YES
39%
+4c edge $1K from 1 alpha +54% potential

All Science Markets

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
YES 66c
$629K
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
NO 95c
$606K
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
YES 80c
$553K
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
NO 70c
$411K
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
NO 81c
$291K
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
NO 80c
$206K
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
NO 93c
$192K
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
NO 68c
$185K
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
NO 92c
$160K
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
NO 93c
$153K
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
NO 93c
$130K
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
NO 84c
$119K
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
YES 94c
$117K
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
NO 65c
$111K
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
NO 94c
$110K
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
NO 72c
$108K
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 50c
$91K
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
NO 66c
$90K
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
NO 93c
$62K
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?
NO 91c
$58K
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?
YES 88c
$54K

Browse All 983 Markets

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US elections, impeachment odds, global leaders
Sports
69 markets · 16 analyzed
NBA Finals, World Cup 2026, Champions League, F1
Geopolitics
126 markets · 47 analyzed
Regime change, ceasefire timelines, sanctions
Crypto
127 markets · 18 analyzed
Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, DeFi events
Economics
99 markets · 9 analyzed
Fed rate decisions, inflation, recession odds
Science
26 markets · 5 analyzed
Disease outbreaks, space missions, climate milestones
Other
379 markets · 36 analyzed
Tech acquisitions, product launches, cultural events