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Resolves: May 2026 ended Volume: $160K

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

NO
74c
YES
26c

Prediction markets put the probability at 33%: Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026. Currently, markets are divided (33% YES, 67% NO).

Down from 33% to 26% since 2026-04-28 (-7pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $160K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 26c YES with $160K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

Trade this market on Polymarket →
Last updated: April 28, 2026, 16:02 UTC
OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.
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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 26% YES with $160K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.