Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?'?

As of August 2026, prediction markets price this at 12% YES on Polymarket with $302K in total trading volume.

88c

YES

12c

Prediction markets put the probability at 12%: Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (12% YES). The Binary Trap: Remember that these markets resolve based on where inflation is in a single month.

Down from 30% to 12% since 2026-05-13 (-18pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $302K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 12c YES with $302K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

As of August 2026, Polymarket prices this at 12% YES with $302K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.