Week 35, 2026: graded AI verdicts

9 of the 38 tracked markets that resolved in week 35 (2026-08-24 – 2026-08-30) had an AI verdict frozen before the close. BUY verdicts hit the outcome in 1 of 6; 3 HOLD verdicts are not calls. Cumulative record: 183 of 271 BUY verdicts hit (68%), ROI -4.0% at $1,000 per call, held to resolution; 108 BUY verdicts are still open and enter the record as they resolve. A HOLD verdict is not a call and is never graded; markets without a verdict are counted, not listed.

1 / 6

BUY verdicts hit the outcome (17%) · 3 HOLD, no entry

-77.2%

ROI with $1,000 on each call, held to resolution (6 calls, −$4,630 total)

Verdicts resolved 2026-08-24 – 2026-08-30

Market

Outcome

AI verdict

US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?2026-08-30

YES ×BUY YES @ 73¢ · −$1,000

US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?2026-08-30

YES ×BUY YES @ 64¢ · −$1,000

US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?2026-08-30

YES ×BUY YES @ 64¢ · −$1,000

Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026?2026-08-30

YES

HOLD · no entry

Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?2026-08-30

YES

NO ×BUY NO @ 61¢ · −$1,000

US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?2026-08-28

YES

HOLD · no entry

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?2026-08-26

YES

YES ✓BUY YES @ 73¢ · +$370

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?2026-08-25

YES

HOLD · no entry

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?2026-08-24

YES

NO ×BUY NO @ 71¢ · −$1,000

29 other markets resolved this week without an AI verdict on file before the close: not a call, not graded, not listed.

Cumulative record

183 / 271

BUY verdicts hit the outcome (68%) · 161 HOLD, no entry

-4.0%

ROI with $1,000 on each call, held to resolution (271 calls, −$10,817 total)

108 BUY verdicts are open on live markets and enter the record as they resolve.

Category	BUY verdicts hit
Other	62 / 85
Geopolitics	55 / 79
Politics	37 / 49
Sports	22 / 37
Economics	6 / 12
Crypto	1 / 8
Science	0 / 1

Method. Every call is an AI verdict frozen before the market closed — at first publication or in the nightly record. BUY YES / BUY NO is graded against the outcome with $1,000 staked and held to resolution; HOLD means the radar looked and did not enter: it is shown, never graded or staked. Markets without a verdict on file are counted, not listed. INVALID resolutions and verdicts recorded after the close are excluded. The tracked wallets' positions are an input to the verdict, not a call; each wallet's own record is on its wallet page. Nothing is back-filled from later data. Not listed to date: 707 resolved markets without a verdict, 8 invalid/unknown outcomes, 0 verdicts recorded after the close; 161 HOLD verdicts shown but not graded. Raw data: 2026-W35.json.

Generated 2026-09-04 09:00 UTC. Verdicts are frozen when published and never recomputed.