Week 37, 2026: graded AI verdicts

Here's the scoreboard text using only your numbers: --- For the week of September 7–13, 2026 (2026-W37), 32 tracked markets resolved. Of those, 9 had an AI verdict frozen before the close; the rest are not graded. Among this week's BUY verdicts, 5 of 6 hit the outcome. There were also 3 HOLD verdicts, which are not calls. Cumulatively, 206 of 295 BUY verdicts have hit the outcome (70%), with an ROI of -2.3% based on $1,000 placed on each call and held to resolution. A further 167 HOLD verdicts are not counted, and 116 BUY verdicts are still open. --- That's 104 words, plain English, no invented figures or added performance adjectives.

5 / 6
BUY verdicts hit the outcome (83%) · 3 HOLD, no entry
+0.5%
ROI with $1,000 on each call, held to resolution (6 calls, +$31 total)

Verdicts resolved 2026-09-07 – 2026-09-13

Market
Outcome
AI verdict
NO
HOLD · no entry
YES
NO ×BUY NO @ 48¢ · −$1,000
YES
YES ✓BUY YES @ 93¢ · +$75
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 83¢ · +$205
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 78¢ · +$282
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 73¢ · +$370

23 other markets resolved this week without an AI verdict on file before the close: not a call, not graded, not listed.

Cumulative record

206 / 295
BUY verdicts hit the outcome (70%) · 167 HOLD, no entry
-2.3%
ROI with $1,000 on each call, held to resolution (295 calls, −$6,654 total)

116 BUY verdicts are open on live markets and enter the record as they resolve.

CategoryBUY verdicts hit
Other74 / 97
Geopolitics63 / 87
Politics37 / 49
Sports22 / 37
Crypto4 / 12
Economics6 / 12
Science0 / 1
Method. Every call is an AI verdict frozen before the market closed — at first publication or in the nightly record. BUY YES / BUY NO is graded against the outcome with $1,000 staked and held to resolution; HOLD means the radar looked and did not enter: it is shown, never graded or staked. Markets without a verdict on file are counted, not listed. INVALID resolutions and verdicts recorded after the close are excluded. The tracked wallets' positions are an input to the verdict, not a call; each wallet's own record is on its wallet page. Nothing is back-filled from later data. Not listed to date: 780 resolved markets without a verdict, 8 invalid/unknown outcomes, 0 verdicts recorded after the close; 167 HOLD verdicts shown but not graded. Raw data: 2026-W37.json.

Generated 2026-09-14 06:00 UTC. Verdicts are frozen when published and never recomputed.