Week 28, 2026: graded AI verdicts

9 of the 59 tracked markets that resolved in week 28 (2026-07-06 – 2026-07-12) had an AI verdict frozen before the close. BUY verdicts hit the outcome in 4 of 4; 5 HOLD verdicts are not calls. Cumulative record: 157 of 233 BUY verdicts hit (67%), ROI -5.3% at $1,000 per call, held to resolution; 108 BUY verdicts are still open and enter the record as they resolve. A HOLD verdict is not a call and is never graded; markets without a verdict are counted, not listed.

4 / 4

BUY verdicts hit the outcome (100%) · 5 HOLD, no entry

+42.5%

ROI with $1,000 on each call, held to resolution (4 calls, +$1,700 total)

Verdicts resolved 2026-07-06 – 2026-07-12

Market

Outcome

AI verdict

Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?2026-07-12

YES

HOLD · no entry

Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?2026-07-12

NO ✓BUY NO @ 73¢ · +$370

Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?2026-07-12

NO ✓BUY NO @ 84¢ · +$190

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?2026-07-07

HOLD · no entry

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?2026-07-07

HOLD · no entry

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?2026-07-07

HOLD · no entry

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?2026-07-06

HOLD · no entry

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?2026-07-06

YES

YES ✓BUY YES @ 49¢ · +$1,041

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?2026-07-06

NO ✓BUY NO @ 91¢ · +$99

50 other markets resolved this week without an AI verdict on file before the close: not a call, not graded, not listed.

Cumulative record

157 / 233

BUY verdicts hit the outcome (67%) · 145 HOLD, no entry

-5.3%

ROI with $1,000 on each call, held to resolution (233 calls, −$12,314 total)

108 BUY verdicts are open on live markets and enter the record as they resolve.

Category	BUY verdicts hit
Other	57 / 78
Geopolitics	44 / 62
Politics	31 / 42
Sports	21 / 35
Economics	3 / 8
Crypto	1 / 7
Science	0 / 1

Method. Every call is an AI verdict frozen before the market closed — at first publication or in the nightly record. BUY YES / BUY NO is graded against the outcome with $1,000 staked and held to resolution; HOLD means the radar looked and did not enter: it is shown, never graded or staked. Markets without a verdict on file are counted, not listed. INVALID resolutions and verdicts recorded after the close are excluded. The tracked wallets' positions are an input to the verdict, not a call; each wallet's own record is on its wallet page. Nothing is back-filled from later data. Not listed to date: 488 resolved markets without a verdict, 1 invalid/unknown outcomes, 0 verdicts recorded after the close; 145 HOLD verdicts shown but not graded. Raw data: 2026-W28.json.

Generated 2026-09-04 09:00 UTC. Verdicts are frozen when published and never recomputed.