Week 17, 2026: graded AI verdicts

14 of the 27 tracked markets that resolved in week 17 (2026-04-20 – 2026-04-26) had an AI verdict frozen before the close. BUY verdicts hit the outcome in 5 of 7; 7 HOLD verdicts are not calls. Cumulative record: 7 of 9 BUY verdicts hit (78%), ROI -11.9% at $1,000 per call, held to resolution; 108 BUY verdicts are still open and enter the record as they resolve. A HOLD verdict is not a call and is never graded; markets without a verdict are counted, not listed.

5 / 7

BUY verdicts hit the outcome (71%) · 7 HOLD, no entry

-17.5%

ROI with $1,000 on each call, held to resolution (7 calls, −$1,225 total)

Verdicts resolved 2026-04-20 – 2026-04-26

Market

Outcome

AI verdict

Will the Ottawa Senators win the Eastern Conference?2026-04-26

HOLD · no entry

Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?2026-04-25

YES

HOLD · no entry

Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?2026-04-25

YES

HOLD · no entry

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?2026-04-25

YES

YES ✓BUY YES @ 91¢ · +$99

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?2026-04-25

YES

HOLD · no entry

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has bee2026-04-24

HOLD · no entry

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?2026-04-23

HOLD · no entry

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?2026-04-23

YES ×BUY YES @ 68¢ · −$1,000

Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?2026-04-23

YES

YES ✓BUY YES @ 88¢ · +$136

USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?2026-04-23

YES

NO ×BUY NO @ 85¢ · −$1,000

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?2026-04-22

NO ✓BUY NO @ 80¢ · +$250

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?2026-04-22

YES

YES ✓BUY YES @ 84¢ · +$190

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?2026-04-21

YES

YES ✓BUY YES @ 91¢ · +$99

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has bee2026-04-20

HOLD · no entry

13 other markets resolved this week without an AI verdict on file before the close: not a call, not graded, not listed.

Cumulative record

7 / 9

BUY verdicts hit the outcome (78%) · 11 HOLD, no entry

-11.9%

ROI with $1,000 on each call, held to resolution (9 calls, −$1,075 total)

108 BUY verdicts are open on live markets and enter the record as they resolve.

Category	BUY verdicts hit
Sports	4 / 4
Politics	2 / 2
Geopolitics	0 / 1
Crypto	0 / 1
Other	1 / 1

Method. Every call is an AI verdict frozen before the market closed — at first publication or in the nightly record. BUY YES / BUY NO is graded against the outcome with $1,000 staked and held to resolution; HOLD means the radar looked and did not enter: it is shown, never graded or staked. Markets without a verdict on file are counted, not listed. INVALID resolutions and verdicts recorded after the close are excluded. The tracked wallets' positions are an input to the verdict, not a call; each wallet's own record is on its wallet page. Nothing is back-filled from later data. Not listed to date: 79 resolved markets without a verdict, 0 invalid/unknown outcomes, 0 verdicts recorded after the close; 11 HOLD verdicts shown but not graded. Raw data: 2026-W17.json.

Generated 2026-09-04 09:00 UTC. Verdicts are frozen when published and never recomputed.