Week 24, 2026: graded AI verdicts

15 of the 68 tracked markets that resolved in week 24 (2026-06-08 – 2026-06-14) had an AI verdict frozen before the close. BUY verdicts hit the outcome in 7 of 11; 4 HOLD verdicts are not calls. Cumulative record: 112 of 171 BUY verdicts hit (65%), ROI -7.1% at $1,000 per call, held to resolution; 108 BUY verdicts are still open and enter the record as they resolve. A HOLD verdict is not a call and is never graded; markets without a verdict are counted, not listed.

7 / 11

BUY verdicts hit the outcome (64%) · 4 HOLD, no entry

-7.0%

ROI with $1,000 on each call, held to resolution (11 calls, −$772 total)

Verdicts resolved 2026-06-08 – 2026-06-14

Market

Outcome

AI verdict

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?2026-06-14

YES

HOLD · no entry

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?2026-06-14

YES ×BUY YES @ 15¢ · −$1,000

Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?2026-06-14

YES

YES ✓BUY YES @ 49¢ · +$1,041

Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?2026-06-14

YES ×BUY YES @ 31¢ · −$1,000

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?2026-06-13

YES

NO ×BUY NO @ 51¢ · −$1,000

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?2026-06-12

YES

YES ✓BUY YES @ 74¢ · +$351

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?2026-06-11

YES

YES ✓BUY YES @ 84¢ · +$190

ECB rate hike in 2026?2026-06-11

YES

HOLD · no entry

Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?2026-06-10

YES

YES ✓BUY YES @ 85¢ · +$176

Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?2026-06-10

YES

HOLD · no entry

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?2026-06-10

YES

HOLD · no entry

Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?2026-06-10

NO ✓BUY NO @ 93¢ · +$75

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has bee2026-06-08

NO ✓BUY NO @ 52¢ · +$923

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?2026-06-08

NO ✓BUY NO @ 68¢ · +$471

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?2026-06-08

YES

NO ×BUY NO @ 12¢ · −$1,000

53 other markets resolved this week without an AI verdict on file before the close: not a call, not graded, not listed.

Cumulative record

112 / 171

BUY verdicts hit the outcome (65%) · 97 HOLD, no entry

-7.1%

ROI with $1,000 on each call, held to resolution (171 calls, −$12,109 total)

108 BUY verdicts are open on live markets and enter the record as they resolve.

Category	BUY verdicts hit
Other	40 / 57
Geopolitics	27 / 40
Politics	25 / 32
Sports	18 / 30
Crypto	1 / 6
Economics	1 / 5
Science	0 / 1

Method. Every call is an AI verdict frozen before the market closed — at first publication or in the nightly record. BUY YES / BUY NO is graded against the outcome with $1,000 staked and held to resolution; HOLD means the radar looked and did not enter: it is shown, never graded or staked. Markets without a verdict on file are counted, not listed. INVALID resolutions and verdicts recorded after the close are excluded. The tracked wallets' positions are an input to the verdict, not a call; each wallet's own record is on its wallet page. Nothing is back-filled from later data. Not listed to date: 266 resolved markets without a verdict, 0 invalid/unknown outcomes, 0 verdicts recorded after the close; 97 HOLD verdicts shown but not graded. Raw data: 2026-W24.json.

Generated 2026-09-04 09:00 UTC. Verdicts are frozen when published and never recomputed.