Tools
Market Radar Copy Trading Compare X-Tweet Market Pricing
Learn
How It Works Accuracy Tracker Prediction Markets Guide Getting Started Legal & Regulation Tax Guide Safety Review

Week 19, 2026: graded AI verdicts

18 of the 37 tracked markets that resolved in week 19 (2026-05-04 – 2026-05-10) had an AI verdict frozen before the close. BUY verdicts hit the outcome in 9 of 15; 3 HOLD verdicts are not calls. Cumulative record: 37 of 62 BUY verdicts hit (60%), ROI -27.3% at $1,000 per call, held to resolution; 108 BUY verdicts are still open and enter the record as they resolve. A HOLD verdict is not a call and is never graded; markets without a verdict are counted, not listed.

9 / 15
BUY verdicts hit the outcome (60%) · 3 HOLD, no entry
-26.2%
ROI with $1,000 on each call, held to resolution (15 calls, −$3,937 total)

Verdicts resolved 2026-05-04 – 2026-05-10

Market
Outcome
AI verdict
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?2026-05-10
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 76¢ · +$316
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?2026-05-10
YES
NO ×BUY NO @ 10¢ · −$1,000
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-10?2026-05-10
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 68¢ · +$471
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?2026-05-10
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 81¢ · +$235
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?2026-05-09
YES
NO ×BUY NO @ 71¢ · −$1,000
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?2026-05-09
YES
HOLD · no entry
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?2026-05-09
YES
NO ×BUY NO @ 91¢ · −$1,000
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?2026-05-09
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 84¢ · +$190
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has bee2026-05-09
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 92¢ · +$87
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?2026-05-06
NO
YES ×BUY YES @ 57¢ · −$1,000
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?2026-05-06
NO
HOLD · no entry
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?2026-05-06
NO
HOLD · no entry
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?2026-05-06
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 82¢ · +$220
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?2026-05-06
NO
YES ×BUY YES @ 7¢ · −$1,000
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?2026-05-05
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 82¢ · +$220
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?2026-05-05
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 86¢ · +$163
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?2026-05-04
NO
YES ×BUY YES @ 7¢ · −$1,000
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?2026-05-04
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 86¢ · +$163

19 other markets resolved this week without an AI verdict on file before the close: not a call, not graded, not listed.

Cumulative record

37 / 62
BUY verdicts hit the outcome (60%) · 40 HOLD, no entry
-27.3%
ROI with $1,000 on each call, held to resolution (62 calls, −$16,915 total)

108 BUY verdicts are open on live markets and enter the record as they resolve.

CategoryBUY verdicts hit
Geopolitics8 / 19
Other14 / 17
Politics8 / 12
Sports7 / 10
Crypto0 / 3
Economics0 / 1
Method. Every call is an AI verdict frozen before the market closed — at first publication or in the nightly record. BUY YES / BUY NO is graded against the outcome with $1,000 staked and held to resolution; HOLD means the radar looked and did not enter: it is shown, never graded or staked. Markets without a verdict on file are counted, not listed. INVALID resolutions and verdicts recorded after the close are excluded. The tracked wallets' positions are an input to the verdict, not a call; each wallet's own record is on its wallet page. Nothing is back-filled from later data. Not listed to date: 120 resolved markets without a verdict, 0 invalid/unknown outcomes, 0 verdicts recorded after the close; 40 HOLD verdicts shown but not graded. Raw data: 2026-W19.json.

Generated 2026-09-04 09:00 UTC. Verdicts are frozen when published and never recomputed.