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Week 23, 2026: graded AI verdicts

51 of the 70 tracked markets that resolved in week 23 (2026-06-01 – 2026-06-07) had an AI verdict frozen before the close. BUY verdicts hit the outcome in 25 of 33; 18 HOLD verdicts are not calls. Cumulative record: 105 of 160 BUY verdicts hit (66%), ROI -7.1% at $1,000 per call, held to resolution; 108 BUY verdicts are still open and enter the record as they resolve. A HOLD verdict is not a call and is never graded; markets without a verdict are counted, not listed.

25 / 33
BUY verdicts hit the outcome (76%) · 18 HOLD, no entry
+21.8%
ROI with $1,000 on each call, held to resolution (33 calls, +$7,179 total)

Verdicts resolved 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-07

Market
Outcome
AI verdict
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?2026-06-07
YES
NO ×BUY NO @ 93¢ · −$1,000
Ethereum flipped in 2026?2026-06-05
YES
NO ×BUY NO @ 64¢ · −$1,000
Will Donald Trump announce Ken Paxton as the next United States Attorney General by June 32026-06-04
NO
HOLD · no entry
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?2026-06-04
NO
HOLD · no entry
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election2026-06-04
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 10¢ · +$9,000
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election2026-06-04
YES
HOLD · no entry
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?2026-06-04
YES
HOLD · no entry
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?2026-06-04
NO
YES ×BUY YES @ 33¢ · −$1,000
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?2026-06-04
YES
HOLD · no entry
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?2026-06-04
YES
YES ✓BUY YES @ 70¢ · +$429
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?2026-06-04
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 88¢ · +$136
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?2026-06-03
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 92¢ · +$87
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?2026-06-03
NO
YES ×BUY YES @ 26¢ · −$1,000
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?2026-06-03
YES
YES ✓BUY YES @ 81¢ · +$235
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?2026-06-03
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 92¢ · +$87
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?2026-06-02
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 89¢ · +$124
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?2026-06-02
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 70¢ · +$429
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?2026-06-02
NO
HOLD · no entry
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?2026-06-02
YES
HOLD · no entry
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?2026-06-01
YES
HOLD · no entry
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?2026-06-01
YES
NO ×BUY NO @ 75¢ · −$1,000
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?2026-06-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 57¢ · +$754
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?2026-06-01
NO
YES ×BUY YES @ 40¢ · −$1,000
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?2026-06-01
NO
YES ×BUY YES @ 38¢ · −$1,000
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?2026-06-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?2026-06-01
NO
YES ×BUY YES @ 18¢ · −$1,000
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?2026-06-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?2026-06-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?2026-06-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 86¢ · +$163
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?2026-06-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 90¢ · +$111
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?2026-06-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Iran leadership change by May 31?2026-06-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 88¢ · +$136
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?2026-06-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 74¢ · +$351
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?2026-06-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 85¢ · +$176
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?2026-06-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 72¢ · +$389
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?2026-06-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 54¢ · +$852
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?2026-06-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 83¢ · +$205
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?2026-06-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?2026-06-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 83¢ · +$205
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?2026-06-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 93¢ · +$75
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?2026-06-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 86¢ · +$163
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?2026-06-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?2026-06-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 87¢ · +$149
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?2026-06-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 89¢ · +$124
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?2026-06-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?2026-06-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 87¢ · +$149
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?2026-06-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?2026-06-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has bee2026-06-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 65¢ · +$538
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?2026-06-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 90¢ · +$111
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?2026-06-01
NO
HOLD · no entry

19 other markets resolved this week without an AI verdict on file before the close: not a call, not graded, not listed.

Cumulative record

105 / 160
BUY verdicts hit the outcome (66%) · 93 HOLD, no entry
-7.1%
ROI with $1,000 on each call, held to resolution (160 calls, −$11,337 total)

108 BUY verdicts are open on live markets and enter the record as they resolve.

CategoryBUY verdicts hit
Other39 / 54
Geopolitics26 / 39
Politics22 / 29
Sports17 / 27
Crypto1 / 6
Economics0 / 4
Science0 / 1
Method. Every call is an AI verdict frozen before the market closed — at first publication or in the nightly record. BUY YES / BUY NO is graded against the outcome with $1,000 staked and held to resolution; HOLD means the radar looked and did not enter: it is shown, never graded or staked. Markets without a verdict on file are counted, not listed. INVALID resolutions and verdicts recorded after the close are excluded. The tracked wallets' positions are an input to the verdict, not a call; each wallet's own record is on its wallet page. Nothing is back-filled from later data. Not listed to date: 213 resolved markets without a verdict, 0 invalid/unknown outcomes, 0 verdicts recorded after the close; 93 HOLD verdicts shown but not graded. Raw data: 2026-W23.json.

Generated 2026-09-04 09:00 UTC. Verdicts are frozen when published and never recomputed.