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Week 27, 2026: graded AI verdicts

60 of the 136 tracked markets that resolved in week 27 (2026-06-29 – 2026-07-05) had an AI verdict frozen before the close. BUY verdicts hit the outcome in 30 of 34; 26 HOLD verdicts are not calls. Cumulative record: 153 of 229 BUY verdicts hit (67%), ROI -6.1% at $1,000 per call, held to resolution; 108 BUY verdicts are still open and enter the record as they resolve. A HOLD verdict is not a call and is never graded; markets without a verdict are counted, not listed.

30 / 34
BUY verdicts hit the outcome (88%) · 26 HOLD, no entry
+7.6%
ROI with $1,000 on each call, held to resolution (34 calls, +$2,594 total)

Verdicts resolved 2026-06-29 – 2026-07-05

Market
Outcome
AI verdict
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?2026-07-04
NO
YES ×BUY YES @ 32¢ · −$1,000
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?2026-07-04
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 93¢ · +$75
Kurds declare independence from Iran?2026-07-02
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 92¢ · +$87
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?2026-07-02
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 66¢ · +$515
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?2026-07-02
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 82¢ · +$220
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?2026-07-02
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 91¢ · +$99
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?2026-07-01
YES
YES ✓BUY YES @ 93¢ · +$75
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?2026-07-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 87¢ · +$149
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?2026-07-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 67¢ · +$493
Ebola case in the US by June 30?2026-07-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 77¢ · +$299
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?2026-07-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?2026-07-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?2026-07-01
NO
YES ×BUY YES @ 44¢ · −$1,000
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?2026-07-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?2026-07-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 83¢ · +$205
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?2026-07-01
YES
HOLD · no entry
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?2026-07-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?2026-07-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 89¢ · +$124
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?2026-07-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?2026-07-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 86¢ · +$163
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?2026-07-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?2026-07-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?2026-07-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 69¢ · +$449
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?2026-07-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?2026-07-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 85¢ · +$176
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?2026-07-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?2026-07-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?2026-07-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?2026-07-01
NO
YES ×BUY YES @ 47¢ · −$1,000
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?2026-07-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?2026-07-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 91¢ · +$99
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?2026-07-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?2026-07-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?2026-07-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 86¢ · +$163
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?2026-07-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 88¢ · +$136
Kash Patel out by June 30?2026-07-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 62¢ · +$613
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?2026-07-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?2026-07-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?2026-07-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 89¢ · +$124
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?2026-07-01
NO
YES ×BUY YES @ 56¢ · −$1,000
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?2026-07-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 86¢ · +$163
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?2026-07-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Iran leadership change by June 30?2026-07-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?2026-07-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Trump out as President by June 30?2026-07-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Netanyahu out by June 30?2026-07-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?2026-07-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?2026-07-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 86¢ · +$163
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?2026-07-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 92¢ · +$87
Epstein client list released by June 30?2026-07-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 84¢ · +$190
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?2026-07-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 86¢ · +$163
Iran coup attempt by June 30?2026-07-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 91¢ · +$99
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?2026-07-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 91¢ · +$99
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?2026-07-01
NO
HOLD · no entry
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?2026-07-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 61¢ · +$639
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?2026-07-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 81¢ · +$235
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?2026-07-01
NO
NO ✓BUY NO @ 73¢ · +$370
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?2026-06-30
YES
YES ✓BUY YES @ 89¢ · +$124
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?2026-06-30
YES
HOLD · no entry
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?2026-06-30
NO
HOLD · no entry

76 other markets resolved this week without an AI verdict on file before the close: not a call, not graded, not listed.

Cumulative record

153 / 229
BUY verdicts hit the outcome (67%) · 140 HOLD, no entry
-6.1%
ROI with $1,000 on each call, held to resolution (229 calls, −$14,014 total)

108 BUY verdicts are open on live markets and enter the record as they resolve.

CategoryBUY verdicts hit
Other57 / 78
Geopolitics43 / 61
Politics30 / 41
Sports19 / 33
Economics3 / 8
Crypto1 / 7
Science0 / 1
Method. Every call is an AI verdict frozen before the market closed — at first publication or in the nightly record. BUY YES / BUY NO is graded against the outcome with $1,000 staked and held to resolution; HOLD means the radar looked and did not enter: it is shown, never graded or staked. Markets without a verdict on file are counted, not listed. INVALID resolutions and verdicts recorded after the close are excluded. The tracked wallets' positions are an input to the verdict, not a call; each wallet's own record is on its wallet page. Nothing is back-filled from later data. Not listed to date: 438 resolved markets without a verdict, 1 invalid/unknown outcomes, 0 verdicts recorded after the close; 140 HOLD verdicts shown but not graded. Raw data: 2026-W27.json.

Generated 2026-09-04 09:00 UTC. Verdicts are frozen when published and never recomputed.